Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001614 0.001705 0.001799 0.001903 0.002014 0.002132 0.002264
2025-05-25 0.001446 0.001572 0.001707 0.001862 0.002037 0.002228 0.002454
2025-06-01 0.001338 0.001486 0.001649 0.001843 0.002069 0.002324 0.002638
2025-06-08 0.001270 0.001436 0.001624 0.001852 0.002125 0.002444 0.002848
2025-06-15 0.001202 0.001379 0.001583 0.001836 0.002147 0.002519 0.003005
2025-06-22 0.001149 0.001335 0.001553 0.001830 0.002176 0.002600 0.003169
2025-06-29 0.001097 0.001289 0.001517 0.001811 0.002187 0.002657 0.003303
2025-07-06 0.001050 0.001245 0.001481 0.001790 0.002191 0.002703 0.003422
2025-07-13 0.000995 0.001191 0.001428 0.001744 0.002160 0.002700 0.003474
2025-07-20 0.000969 0.001169 0.001417 0.001750 0.002195 0.002784 0.003647
2025-07-27 0.000947 0.001153 0.001410 0.001760 0.002237 0.002878 0.003838
2025-08-03 0.000933 0.001145 0.001413 0.001784 0.002296 0.002998 0.004073
2025-08-10 0.000906 0.001122 0.001397 0.001784 0.002326 0.003085 0.004272
2025-08-17 0.000870 0.001085 0.001363 0.001756 0.002317 0.003115 0.004389
2025-08-24 0.000841 0.001057 0.001338 0.001741 0.002325 0.003168 0.004544
2025-08-31 0.000823 0.001042 0.001330 0.001750 0.002366 0.003273 0.004787
2025-09-07 0.000798 0.001017 0.001308 0.001736 0.002372 0.003325 0.004948
2025-09-14 0.000777 0.000997 0.001292 0.001730 0.002390 0.003394 0.005140
2025-09-21 0.000755 0.000973 0.001269 0.001713 0.002390 0.003435 0.005287
2025-09-28 0.000732 0.000949 0.001245 0.001693 0.002384 0.003465 0.005417
2025-10-05 0.000703 0.000915 0.001206 0.001651 0.002341 0.003433 0.005433
2025-10-12 0.000691 0.000904 0.001200 0.001656 0.002373 0.003525 0.005678
2025-10-19 0.000681 0.000896 0.001197 0.001665 0.002412 0.003631 0.005958